The NFL season is at about its midway point, and the betting markets are constantly reacting to the latest injury news and on-field results.
Let’s break down the odds for passing, rushing, and receiving leaders in the NFL and assess if anything is actionable in each market.
All odds listed are the best on the betting market, but prices can vary significantly so feel free to continue shopping around.
Passing yards: +1000 reasons to back Dak
The Seattle Seahawks brought in former Washington Huskies offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb as part of their new coaching staff, and Geno Smith has thrived in the college-influenced offense.
Smith leads the NFL with 2,197 passing yards, and he’s currently priced at +320 as the favorite to lead the NFL in passing yards.
Baker Mayfield ranks second with 2,189 passing yards, but Chris Godwin will miss the rest of the season, and Mike Evans is out for the foreseeable future, putting a dent in his production.
Kirk Cousins is an intriguing option at +500 odds, as he currently ranks third in the NFL with 2,106 passing yards and has begun to thrive in Zac Robinson’s offense.
If I had to take a long shot in this market, it would be Dak Prescott at +900 odds (Fanatics).
Prescott has already had his bye week, unlike the quarterbacks priced ahead of him, and he has 1,847 passing yards, meaning he can jump up the board in a hurry.
With the Cowboys’ nonexistent run game and struggling defense, this team largely rests on Dak’s shoulders for the remainder of the year.
Rushing yards: Sound the siren for Kyren
Derrick Henry has had a dominant first season in Baltimore, currently listed at -155 on DraftKings to lead the league in rushing yards.
Henry leads the NFL with 946 rushing yards, and with his insanely efficient 6.5 yards per carry, he doesn’t look like slowing down anytime soon.
Saquon Barkley is second in the NFL with 766 rushing yards and has +200 odds in the rushing leader market.
Barkley also hasn’t had his bye week yet, giving him a potential opportunity to gain ground when Henry takes a game off in Week 14.
The player in this market who carries some intrigue is Kyren Williams at current 25-1 odds (Caesars).
He has 533 rushing yards through seven games, but he’s been a volume monster with 139 rushing attempts, the third most in the NFL.
Williams also hasn’t had his bye week yet, and the returns of Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua to the lineup should help boost his efficiency.
Receiving yards: A real long shot Pick’
Before the season, everyone questioned whether Justin Jefferson could produce elite numbers despite losing Cousins.
All he’s done is post 646 receiving yards in seven games, putting him on a 17-game pace of just under 1,600 yards.
He’s the current favorite to lead the NFL in receiving yards at +140 odds.
Ja’Marr Chase and CeeDee Lamb are next on the board at +200 odds and have similar cases.
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The Bengals and Cowboys have struggled this season to repeat their playoff runs from the last few years, putting the burden of success on the shoulders of their quarterbacks.
That has meant plenty of volume for both star receivers.
Lamb is preferred here, as he already had his bye week.
A super long shot worth considering is the Steelers’ George Pickens at 100/1 (BetMGM).
The introduction of Russell Wilson has led to 185 receiving yards over the last two weeks, and Pickens has been very unlucky throughout the season with touchdowns and big plays called back for penalties.
With upcoming games against vulnerable pass defenses in the Commanders and Ravens, I’d place a small flier on Pickens at this price.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Jacob Wayne handicaps college football and the NFL for the New York Post. He’s up 84.5 units across the two sports with a 6.27% ROI.
