Jacksonville opens Wild Card Sunday at home as a rare underdog despite owning the No. 3 seed.
The Jaguars finished the season on an eight-game tear that buried opponents by nearly three touchdowns per week.
Buffalo arrives as the No. 6 seed after a 12-5 season and a late surge capped by a Week 18 blowout powered almost entirely by reserves.
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What our Post expert thinks about Bills vs. Jaguars
Jacksonville’s surge has been built on control: 23-plus points every game during the streak, single-digit defense three times, and turnovers forced in six straight.
That profile runs straight at Buffalo’s softest spot, a run defense that surrendered 5.1 yards per carry and allowed 150-plus rushing yards in nearly half its games.
The tension point is obvious — Etienne and ball control versus Allen’s ceiling, especially with the weather no longer able to compress Buffalo’s passing game.
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Why Trust New York Post Betting
Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.
