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NFL Divisional Round betting recap, trends, line movement: Super Bowl odds, Box Nix injury impact

nfl-divisional-round-betting-recap,-trends,-line-movement:-super-bowl-odds,-box-nix-injury-impact
NFL Divisional Round betting recap, trends, line movement: Super Bowl odds, Box Nix injury impact
Seattle Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold reacts during the second half of an NFL football divisional playoff game against the San Francisco 49ers, Saturday, Jan. 17, 2026, in Seattle.
Seattle Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold reacts during the second half of an NFL football divisional playoff game against the San Francisco 49ers, Saturday, Jan. 17, 2026, in Seattle. AP

The Post’s Dylan Svoboda takes a look at the NFL’s betting trends and storylines after the Divisional Round.

Super Bowl odds barely budge

The Divisional Round didn’t change the Super Bowl odds board much, at least at the very top.

With four teams left, the Seahawks remain the favorites (+145, FanDuel Sportsbook) to win it all after they drubbed the 49ers.

After their win over the Bears, the Rams are still right behind Seattle (+210), followed by the Patriots (+240).

The biggest shift came in Denver after Bo Nix’s injury, which we will have more on here in a minute.

The Broncos now have, by far, the longest odds to hoist the Lombardi Trophy (+1300).

The Bo Nix effect

About that Bo Nix injury.

The Broncos quarterback shockingly went down with a broken ankle, ending his season with his team just two wins away from a Super Bowl title.

Oddsmakers, apparently, really don’t like the downgrade from Nix to backup Jarrett Stidham.

Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) reacts after winning an AFC Divisional Round playoff game.
Bo Nix walks off the field after the Broncos defeated the Bills on Jan. 17. Imagn Images

The Broncos went from a 1.5-point lookahead favorite before the news of Nix’s injury broke, shifting the odds in the Patriots’ favor despite having to travel to the Mile High City.

The line shifted to as high as -5.5 for New England as of Tuesday afternoon.

If that number holds, the Patriots would be the biggest road favorite during the conference championship round since the merger (1970).


Betting on the NFL?


Favorites dominate

It was all about the favorites during the Divisional Round.

All four underdogs were eliminated during the weekend.

Three of the four covered the spread with only the Rams falling short, beating the Bears 20-17 in overtime as a 3.5-point favorite.


Why Trust New York Post Betting

Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.

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