The scene is set for Super Bowl 2026. The Seattle Seahawks will take on the New England Patriots for the right to hoist the Lombardi Trophy.
The Seahawks are a 4.5-point favorite to win the Super Bowl, with the Over/Under initially set at 46.5 points.
The Big Game takes place at 6:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, Feb. 8 at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif.
2026 Super Bowl: Patriots vs. Seahawks odds
- Patriots: +4.5
- Seahawks: -4.5
- Over/Under: 46.5
The Seahawks went 14-3 in the regular season, topping the NFC West and finishing with the best record in the conference. Seattle routed the 49ers in the Divisional Round before taking care of the Rams on Sunday. Seattle hasn’t lost since Nov. 16.
The Seahawks were a 60/1 long shot before Week 1, but they quickly shot up the betting board thanks to a hot start. Seattle was the consensus Super Bowl favorite before the postseason kicked off.
The Patriots finished as the No. 2 seed in the AFC and were an 80/1 long shot before Week 1. Their odds drifted further after a 1-2 start, but a 10-game winning streak between Weeks 4 and 13 vaulted Mike Vrabel’s team towards the top of the betting board.
This is the 12th trip to the Super Bowl for the Patriots, but this is only the fourth time they’ve been the underdog. New England was a 1-point pooch against the Seahawks in 2014.
If the Pats beat the Seahawks, they would be the second-biggest long shot to win the Super Bowl after the 1999 St. Louis Rams, who were 150/1 when they won the Lombardi Trophy.
If Seattle wins, they’d also be the second-biggest long shot to win the Big Game. Though they’d be tied with the 2001 Patriots, who were also 60/1 before Week 1.
A 4.5-point spread may not seem wide, but the last three Super Bowls closed with spreads of two points or fewer, and six of the past seven have kicked off with a line within three points.
Recent history has been on the side of the underdog in Super Bowls. Pooches are 3-0 straight up in the last three iterations of The Big Game, and they’ve covered the spread five years on the spin.
Betting stats of the last 10 Super Bowls
| Favorite (Spread) | Underdog | Final score | ATS Result | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs (-1.5) | Eagles | Eagles 40, Chiefs 22 | Eagles (+1.5) | Under 48.5 |
| 49ers (-2) | Chiefs | Chiefs 25, 49ers 22 | Chiefs (+2) | Push 47 |
| Eagles (-1) | Chiefs | Chiefs 38, Eagles 35 | Chiefs (+1) | Over 51 |
| Rams (-4.5) | Bengals | Rams 23, Bengals 20 | Bengals (+4.5) | Under 48.5 |
| Chiefs (-3) | Buccaneers | Buccaneers 31, Chiefs 9 | Buccaneers (+3) | Under 55.5 |
| Chiefs (-1.5) | 49ers | Chiefs 31, 49ers 20 | Chiefs (-1.5) | Under 52.5 |
| Patriots (-2) | Rams | Patriots 13, Rams 3 | Patriots (-2) | Under 55.5 |
| Patriots (-4.5) | Eagles | Eagles 41, Patriots 33 | Eagles (+4.5) | Over 48.5 |
| Patriots (-3) | Falcons | Patriots 34, Falcons 28 | Patriots (-3) | Over 57 |
| Panthers (-5) | Broncos | Broncos 24, Panthers 10 | Broncos (+5) | Under 43.5 |
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
