As Rick Ross once said, money is the motivation.
NFL players have bonuses structured into their contracts for a reason, and those consistently come down to the wire as players look to get their holiday bonus at the end of the season.
Those bonuses add intrigue to Week 18, when some want to bring home some extra money, others are fighting for a playoff spot and many are playing for pride.
Below is an updated list of player incentives that players can hit, how you can bet on them and how much money they will make.
You will notice that oddsmakers are accounting for increased narrative related to this money-based motivation.
Some of them are not worth betting, and that is listed, with some bets made for you as well.
Week 18 player incentive tracker
| Player | Incentive | Needs | Bonus value | Prop to bet on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 15 rushing touchdowns | 1 rushing touchdown | $500,000 | Henry to score a touchdown (-250, Caesars) |
| Baker Mayfield | Top 10 in the following categories: Passer rating, passing yards, touchdown passes, completion percentage, Expected Points Added; Playoffs bonus | TBD | $500,000 each * Mayfield gets $500,000 if the Buccaneers make the playoffs and an additional $500k for each round made after. |
N/A |
| Mike Evans | 70 catches, 1,000 yards and 10 touchdowns. Currently sits at 65 catches, 915 yards, and 11 touchdowns. | 5 catches for 85 yards; touchdowns segment cleared | $3 million | His over/under prop is 97.5, by far the highest it’s been all season. He averages 70 per game. Easy pass, do not bet this line. |
| Geno Smith | Career-high statistics (passing yards, completion percentage in sight); wins and playoffs bonuses | 186 passing yards; Current completion percentage is 70.2 percent, a career-high. Must keep it above 69.755 percent to make bonus. | $2 million for each category where he sets a new career high; $2 million if he wins 10 games or makes playoffs |
*SGP: Geno Smith 175+ passing yards + Under 31.5 pass attempts + Over 22.5 completions (+900, Bet365)
Will Smith prioritize efficiency? |
| Kyler Murray | 600 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns. Currently at 550 yards and five touchdowns. | 50 rushing yards, 1 rushing touchdown | $750,000. | – 50+ rushing yards (+310, Bet365) – Anytime TD scorer (+170, DraftKings) |
| DeAndre Hopkins | Catches bonus; yards bonus; touchdown bonus | 9 catches for receptions bonus; 140 yards for yardage bonus; 1 touchdown for touchdown bonus | $250,000 per bonus for catches and yards; $500,000 for a touchdown | Unclear if he is playing, check back for TD prop once his availability is clearer. |
| JK Dobbins | 900 Rushing yards bonus | 58 yards | $150,000 for rushing for 900 yards. | N/A |
| Courtland Sutton | 1,065 receiving yards; 10 receiving touchdowns | 82 yards for receiving yards bonus; 3 touchdowns for extra bonus | $500,000 bonus to get to 1,065 receiving yards. $200,000 for 10 touchdowns |
80+ receiving yards (+170, ESPN BET) – 3+ touchdowns is 35/1 on DraftKings. He has never done this in his career, oddsmakers are pricing in money as motivation. Proceed with caution, you’re better off live betting each individual score. |
| Von Miller | 6 sacks | 1 sack | – $1.5 million | Odds aren’t out yet, but this is a good bet. $1.5 million is a ton of money, and the Patriots offensive line is so bad he could complete this in the first quarter and still rest. |
| Tony Pollard | 1,100 rushing yards; 7 rushing touchdowns | 83 rushing yards for yardage bonus; 2 touchdowns for touchdowns bonus | $250,000 bonus for yardage; $200,000 bonus for seven touchdowns | – 2+ touchdowns (+475, BetRivers) – Rushing yards prop not available |
| Zach Ertz | 700 receiving yards; 70 catches; 8 receiving touchdowns | 90 receiving yards for yardage bonus; 9 catches for receptions bonus; 2 touchdowns for touchdown bonus | $250,000 bonus for each milestone | – 90+ receiving yards +1100, Bet365) – 2+ touchdowns (+1400, Caesars) |
| Za’Darius Smith | 10 sacks | 2 sacks | $250,000 | n/a |
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
