Down 3-1 in a best-of-seven series, the Cleveland Cavaliers should come into Game 5 with reckless abandon in an attempt to save their season.
The Pacers are expected to get waxed in Cleveland, entering the contest as 7.5-point underdogs.
Indiana previously opened as a 9.5-point underdog, but some money has come in on the Pacers, with perhaps some of the line movement related to Donovan Mitchell’s uncertain status with an ankle injury.
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Pacers vs. Cavaliers prediction for Game 5
Mitchell is listed as a game-time decision and, if he doesn’t play, expect the line to drop even further in favor of the Pacers.
Cleveland’s injury uncertainty is a major problem for the Cavaliers, and it will really depend on who is able to put up a big-time performance with Mitchell at less than 100 percent.
DeAndre Hunter, Evan Mobley and Darius Garland had also previously missed time in this series, so we know that this team is far from in healthy shape.
In the last four games, the Pacers are lead the NBA in offensive rating while the Cavaliers have the worst defensive rating of all teams remaining in the playoffs in this round of the playoffs.
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Cleveland has the pedigree of a contender but there’s no way the Cavaliers are worthy of a bet at this price.
Instead, target the Under as my model has the Cavaliers favored in this game 118.31-108.86.
That total score of 227.17 projected gives us a three percent edge on the total of 230.5 total points we are getting at BetMGM.
PICK: Under 230.5 (-115, BetMGM)
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Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
