Every game matters at this point in the season as teams fight for playoff position and chase division titles.
Here’s how the NFL playoff picture looks with most of Week 13 done:
1. Chicago Bears (9-3): Up next — At Green Bay Packers in Week 14
Notable odds: The Bears jumped into first in the NFC standings Sunday afternoon as a result of the Panthers’ upset of the Rams. Friday’s Bears win over the Eagles bumped Chicago’s odds to win the NFC North to 30% in The Athletic’s playoff simulator.
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2. Los Angeles Rams (9-3): Up next — At Arizona Cardinals in Week 14
Notable odds: The Rams’ odds of clinching the NFC’s No. 1 seed plummeted to 42%, per the Athletic’s simulator, after their loss to the Panthers on Sunday. The defeat dropped them out of first in the conference standings.
3. Philadelphia Eagles (8-4): Up next — At Los Angeles Chargers in Week 14
Notable odds: Philly still has an iron grip on the NFC East, but two straight losses, including a Black Friday defeat to the Bears, has crushed its hopes of a No. 1 seed. The Eagles are down to 10% to earn the top NFC seed, per The Athletic.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-5): Up next — At New Orleans Saints in Week 14
Notable odds: The Buccaneers have a very clear lead in the NFC South race, and are sitting at 73% chance to make the playoffs.
5. Seattle Seahawks (9-3): Up next — At Atlanta Falcons in Week 14
Notable odds: Though almost a lock to make the playoffs (around 90% likely across the board) the Seahawks are in a very crowded NFC West.
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6. Green Bay Packers (8-3-1): Up next — vs. Chicago Bears in Week 14
Notable odds: Favorites to win the NFC North at 66%, per The Athletic. Next week’s game vs. Chicago looms large.
7. San Francisco 49ers (9-4): Up next — vs. Tennessee Titans in Week 15
Notable odds: Strong playoff favorites at 94%, per The Athletic.
Still in the NFC picture
8. Detroit Lions (7-5): Up next — vs. Dallas Cowboys in Week 14
Notable odds: 42% to make the playoffs, per NFL.com. They’re down to 4% to win the division, per The Athletic.
9. Dallas Cowboys (6-5-1): Up next — At Detroit Lions in Week 14
Notable odds: 23% to make the playoffs, according to The Athletic, and 16% percent, per NFL.com.
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10. Carolina Panthers (7-6): Up next — At New Orleans Saints in Week 15
Notable odds: 30% to make the playoffs, 28% to win the division, per The Athletic.
AFC
1. Denver Broncos (10-2): Up next — At Las Vegas Raiders in Week 14
Notable odds: With another Chiefs loss, Denver is an even heavier favorite to win the AFC West crown. They’ve briefly overtaken the Patriots for the No. 1 seed in the AFC with their overtime win against the Commanders on Sunday night, too.
2. New England Patriots (10-2): Up next — vs. New York Giants on Monday
Notable odds: With a 2.5-game edge over the Bills, the Patriots are closing in on securing the AFC East title, at 93% to win it. And they have by far the highest odds of anyone to grab the No. 1 seed in the AFC, at 61%, according to The Athletic.
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3. Jacksonville Jaguars (8-4): Up next — vs. Indianapolis Colts in Week 14
Notable odds: The Jags are now the leaders in the AFC South, and are at 83% likely to make the postseason, per The Athletic.
4. Baltimore Ravens (6-6): Up next — vs. Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 14
Notable odds: Baltimore’s playoff odds took a big hit with Thursday’s loss to the Bengals. But they jumped right up to the top of their division after the Steelers’ loss Sunday. The Ravens still have a 71% playoff probability, per the NFL.com.
5. Los Angeles Chargers (8-4): Up next — vs. Philadelphia Eagles in Week 14
Notable odds: The Chargers still have good odds of making the playoffs at 63%, per the NFL.com. Catching Denver for the division title, however, is a long shot 18%, per The Athletic.
6. Indianapolis Colts (8-4): Up next — At Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 14
Notable odds: The Colts now trail the Jaguars in the AFC South, but they are listed at 69% likely to make the playoffs by The Athletic and NFL.com.
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7. Buffalo Bills (8-4): Up next — vs. Cincinnati Bengals in Week 14
Notable odds: While Buffalo’s chances at catching up to New England to win the division title are slim (9% according to The Athletic), the Bills are still very likely to qualify for the postseason, at 89%.
Still in the AFC picture
8. Houston Texans (7-5): Up next — At Kansas City Chiefs in Week 14
Notable odds: The Texans’ odds to make the playoffs took a jump after their win over the Colts, up to 61%, per The Athletic.
9. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-6): Up next — At Baltimore Ravens in Week 14
Notable odds: Pittsburgh entered the week at 38% to make the playoffs, according to NFL.com. That crashed to 28% after their latest loss. If they don’t beat the Ravens next week, it may be out of reach.
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10. Kansas City Chiefs (6-6): Up next — vs. Houston Texans in Week 14
Notable odds: Kansas City’s Thanksgiving loss to the Cowboys was costly. NFL.com’s model shows the Chiefs fell from 52% to 38% to make the postseason. At 3.5 games behind the Broncos in the AFC West, hopes of a division title are effectively down the drain.
Latest eliminated
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Tennessee Titans (1-11)
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Arizona Cardinals (3-9)
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New Orleans Saints (2-10)
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Las Vegas Raiders (2-10)
Already eliminated
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New York Giants (2-10)
