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2025 NFL regular season betting recap, trends, line movement: MVP controversy, disappointing Chiefs, Ravens

2025-nfl-regular-season-betting-recap,-trends,-line-movement:-mvp-controversy,-disappointing-chiefs,-ravens
2025 NFL regular season betting recap, trends, line movement: MVP controversy, disappointing Chiefs, Ravens
Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford warms up before an NFL football game.
Matt Stafford of the Los Angeles Rams. AP

The Post’s Dylan Svoboda takes a look at this season’s betting trends and storylines.

An unsettled MVP race

The betting market still isn’t quite sure who will be this year’s NFL MVP.

Matthew Stafford and Drake Maye are still in a dead heat for the award, with the former outpacing the latter, -175 to +125 at FanDuel Sportsbook.

The pair have been near the top of the odds board for weeks.

Maye briefly took over for Stafford as the favorite in recent weeks before the Rams quarterback reclaimed top position as he seeks his first career MVP award at nearly 38 years old.

Stafford was 50/1 to win the award before Week 1, while Maye was right behind him at 60/1.

The shoo-ins

On the other hand, most of the other award races are all but settled.

Browns pass rusher Myles Garrett has wrapped up the NFL Defensive Player of the Year award after breaking the single-season sack record on Sunday.

Wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan (-1500) and linebacker Carson Schwesinger (-1100) have essentially locked in the Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year awards.

The Coach of the Year race is the only other award that appears to have some debate left in it, with Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel sitting at the top as a comfortable but not guaranteed -330 favorite.

Head coach Mike Vrabel of the New England Patriots looks on during the third quarter against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium on November 23, 2025 in Cincinnati, Ohio.
Head coach Mike Vrabel of the New England Patriots looks on during the third quarter against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium on November 23, 2025 in Cincinnati, Ohio. Getty Images

The disappointments

The most shocking thing about 2025 was the teams that won’t be playing deep into January.

After coming into the year with the second- and fourth-best odds to make the postseason, the Ravens (-625) and Chiefs (-400) unbelievably fell short.

The Lions, Buccaneers, and Bengals, who all were in the top-10 in terms of preseason playoff odds, also missed the postseason, adding to the disappointments across the league.

The Panthers, who were +280 to make the playoffs before the season, were the biggest long shot to get into the dance.


Betting on the NFL?


It’s anyone’s game

Parity has defined this NFL season, and nothing has changed on that end heading into the postseason.

With no clear favorite, seven different teams have odds of +1000 or better to win the Super Bowl.

The Seahawks have the best odds in the crowded field (+390), but that’s not saying much compared to recent Super Bowl favorites heading into the postseason.

That number is the highest for a Super Bowl favorite before Wild Card weekend since the Patriots, Panthers, and Cardinals were co-favorites at +450 during the 2015 season, according to Sports Odds History.


Why Trust New York Post Betting

Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.

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