If you don’t like either team against the spread in the AFC and NFC championship games, you’ve come to the right place.
This is your place to look at NFL player prop bets ahead of Sunday, as the Patriots head to Denver to face the Broncos and Rams go north to matchup with the divisional rival Seahawks for the third time.
Last week was a decent showing, as we hit Caleb Williams Over 40 pass attempts coming in at +450 odds.
We had a narrow 0.76-unit profit if you correctly spread your liability and didn’t bet more than one unit on each player.
On the season, though, we’re still down 2.87 units.
NFL Conference Championship player prop bets, picks
Kayshon Boutte Over 2.5 receptions (+132, DraftKings) | Over 28.5 receiving yards (-114, FanDuel)
Oddsmakers are likely assuming the Broncos’ defense will stifle most of the Patriots’ passing game and have lowered their projections for New England’s offense accordingly.
That’s a good assumption by the oddsmakers, but Kayshon Boutte is a highly talented receiver who appears to have broken out a bit for the Patriots during these playoffs.
In the last two New England playoff games, which were also played against very strong defenses, Boutte pulled down four catches for 66 yards against the Chargers and tallied three catches for 75 yards and a touchdown against the Texans last week.
Those numbers are too big to ignore, even against the Broncos.
Expect Stefon Diggs to be shadowed by superstar cornerback Patrick Surtain Jr., leaving the Patriots forced to target Boutte a bit more than usual.
The Broncos rank No. 13 in the NFL against wide receiver twos, allowing 48.1 yards per game to the position.
They rank fifth against opposing wide receiver ones, according to FTN, so there’s reason to believe that Denver is going to be leaky enough to get Boutte over here.
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Kenneth Walker Over 20.5 receiving yards (-114, FanDuel) | Over 39.5 receiving yards (+370, BetRivers)
Zach Charbonnet is off the board in Seattle; it’s time to invest big into Kenneth Walker.
Walker got a ton of work last week once Charbonnet went down, taking 19 carries for 116 yards and three touchdowns, while also grabbing three receptions for 29 yards in an absolute blowout of the San Francisco 49ers.
I suspect that the Rams turn this game into a shootout, as they usually do.
Walker is Over the top end of this receiving total in both games against the Rams, grabbing three balls for 64 yards last time out and another three for 44 yards on Nov. 16.
With Charbonnet out of the picture, we’re slamming Walker every which way this weekend.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
