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NFL Week 9 betting trends: Joe Burrow surges in MVP race, trade deadline shakes up futures

nfl-week-9-betting-trends:-joe-burrow-surges-in-mvp-race,-trade-deadline-shakes-up-futures
NFL Week 9 betting trends: Joe Burrow surges in MVP race, trade deadline shakes up futures

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An image collage containing 1 images, Image 1 shows Kirk Cousins of the Las Vegas Raiders leaves the field
Kirk Cousins #8 of the Las Vegas Raiders leaves the field after his team’s 33-30 loss against the Buffalo Bills at Allegiant Stadium on October 18, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Getty Images

The NFL trade deadline is in the books.

Between a flurry of trades ahead of Tuesday’s deadline, oddsmakers have made massive adjustments to Super Bowl futures, MVP odds, and other major betting markets.

Here are four of the biggest developments heading into Week 10.

Vikings’ blockbuster trade draws muted response from oddsmakers

The Vikings made perhaps the biggest move of Tuesday’s trade deadline by bringing back Kirk Cousins, but oddsmakers don’t appear all that impressed.

Minnesota’s Super Bowl odds shortened only slightly, from 24/1 earlier Tuesday to 22/1 at DraftKings Sportsbook following the deal. 

The Vikings also went from 4.5-point underdogs to 3.5-point underdogs for Sunday’s matchup with the Packers, suggesting Cousins is only worth about a point on the spread compared to their other quarterback options.

It’s a modest vote of confidence in Cousins, who returns to a 6-2 team desperate for quarterback stability after Monday’s ugly 23-6 loss to Buffalo.

Joe Burrow becomes new MVP favorite

Joe Burrow has taken the lead in the NFL MVP race after a scorching month.

The Bengals quarterback has produced 18 total touchdowns in his past four games, including four in Sunday’s win over the Falcons in Madrid. 

His odds shortened from +475 last week to +210 at DraftKings, pushing him past Bills star Josh Allen, who is now +240.

Burrow leads the league with 23 touchdown passes, and Cincinnati’s Sunday showdown with Pittsburgh could further shape the race.

Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) prepares to throw a pass during the game against the Tennessee Titans.
Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) throws in the first half against the Tennessee Titans at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio, Sunday, Nov. 1, 2026. IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Jaguars’ Super Bowl odds soar after trade spree

The Jaguars are going all-in, and oddsmakers have taken notice.

Jacksonville’s Super Bowl odds shortened from +850 to +750 at DraftKings following the team’s acquisition of defensive stars Jordan Davis, Jessie Bates III, and Davon Godchaux.

The Jaguars now have the third-shortest championship odds in the NFL, trailing only the 49ers and Bills.

Jacksonville, which is 6-2 and holds a commanding AFC South lead, enters Sunday’s matchup against the Titans as a 10.5-point road favorite.


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Fernando Mendoza suddenly becomes Rookie of the Year favorite

Perhaps the biggest betting swing from Tuesday’s trade deadline belongs to a quarterback who has barely played this season.

Following the Raiders’ decision to trade Kirk Cousins to Minnesota, rookie Fernando Mendoza’s Offensive Rookie of the Year odds skyrocketed from +1500 to +350 at DraftKings.

The No. 1 overall pick, who has attempted just eight passes this season, is now the betting favorite.

Mendoza is expected to make his first NFL start Sunday against the defending champion Seahawks, who are favored by 6.5 points.


Why Trust New York Post Betting

Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.

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